It’ll be very important you watch how the track is playing, early on the track manager is expecting them to go to the fence as the track has been aerated down the middle, but with the northerly it wouldn’t surprise me to see them swooping down the outside. There is also rain predicted so all we can do is wait and watch the first few races and decide how we want to go from there. Follow me on Twitter and I will update everyone on any changes to my selections.
Race 2 – I’m very excited to be on Dawnie Perfect! I’ve blacked booked her and I’ve noticed Clarry Conners is following the exact same path that gave Dear Demi her Crown Oaks. She ran on the 17th October which was 2nd in the Guineas, then Won the Wakeful then backed up and Won the Oaks. Let’s hope Dawnie Perfect can do the same! Back her today and in doubles for the Oaks. Let’s also quinella her with Ambience though, last run was not a reflection of her talent. She was having her first run in Melbourne and was never on the right leg, if she can bounce back she will go close with Dawnie Perfect.
Race 3 – The long Flemington straight perfectly suits Dispositions style of running, in two goes here has a win and the narrowest of seconds to Wandjina. Watch the market on the Chris Waller first starter Kool Kompany, didn’t trial well but sometimes his runners don’t. It has mixed form overseas so this one will be interesting. Ninth Legion has been a little unlucky of late and drawing wide should help his cause, given the chance to wind up a little I can see a boil over coming, has an impressive 1400m record including a close second to an inform Contributer. Red Excitment is another horse we need to watch the market with, has trialled well but a while off the scene so would need a big effort to win this. Another one to watch is Artlee, the connections arn’t travelling all the way to Melbourne for nothing, his late splits last time out were sensational and I think he will measure up.
Race 4 – Exosphere wins this, I don’t think the speed or barriers or anything else matters. I had his last two wins rated extremley high actually better then Chautauqua and Terriavista after their first up runs. Do I want to bet into $1.40? No not on a day like Derby Day where the avergae winning price is $11. I will be eachway on CounterAttack, when he raced Exosphere, Cassidy took him to the rail which was an absolute no go zone. Next start blinkers on he raced very well. Definetly worth an each way go.
Race 5 – The Lexus Stakes, the winner of this race can go straight into the Melbourne Cup if it please, with a couple of overseas horses using this to get into the Cup and me not knowing how they will handle Flemington this will just be a watch race for me.
Race 7 – See Victoria Derby Preview
Race 8 – Royal Descent back to a mile here, Glenn Boss pulled her up very early in the Caulfield Cup and if Waller says she is right to go again she probably will be. Hasn’t actually won at the mile but 9 placings from 9 starts. Stay With Me comes here from the guineas and while a filly has never won the race she looks like she will go very close. The fillies this year are a great bunch they have been beating the boys every single time. Going into this with 49kg she will be extremely hard to beat. The other horse at odds I have a lot of time for is Abidewithme, has had very tough runs last two starts but always hitting the line well, with any luck will be going very close.
Race 9 – Delectation saves his best runs for the Flemington straight. Has run two seconds down the straight 6 and they were to Chautauqua and Brazen Beau, form doesn’t get much better than that. His last start was good and I will be on here!
Tips – Click the link to go to the race site where you can see their odds, also sign up for the $50 into $200 offer or get your first deposit matched upto $200
Race 2 – Dawnie Perfect 9 (1/2) – $5/2
Race 2 – Dawnie Perfect + Ambeince quinella – One Stake
Race 3 – Disposition (1) – $3.50
Race 3 – Kool Kompany (1/2) – $15/4.40
Race 4 – CounterAttack (0.5/2.5) – $14/3
Race 8 Stay with me (1) – $4.40
Race 9 – Delectation (2) – $4.60