Have a few previews to get through this week, this time in we have the George Ryder. This is a key lead up to the Doncaster but is a strong race in it’s own right being a group 1. This year only 8 go around as a lot of trainers are probably scared of Winx but there is still a lot of quality in this race. Winx the Queen of Australian Racing, Criterion and Kermadec place-getters in last year’s renewal and NZ Wonder horse Turn Me Loose. Below is my prediction of the speed map and thoughts on each runner. You can get my recommended staking plan here
Turn Me Loose is the obvious leader in this. He will get a cosy lead with probably Hucklebuck closest to him then Press Statement and First Seal together. The other three runners will be tucked in behind. It does look like Turn Me Loose is going to get a soft run and a horse of his caliber with such a high cruising speed is a danger.
Turn Me Loose – The Kiwi Raider has such huge potential and I still don’t think we have seen the best of him yet, ridden with a sit he was very impressive in the G1 Futurity which wasn’t even at his pet distance of 1600m. Steps up to 1500m here and will get a soft lead, has run in trials the Sydney way of going so should handle the change in direction. What makes him so dangerous is his high cruising speed and ability to kick off that, he has horses off the bridle before he is even stoked up. He won’t do that to Winx but he will make her work for a victory here. If there was ever a time Winx was vulnerable it will be this race with this high quality galloper kicking away.
Kermadec – Third in this race last year and in my opinion looks set to run that place again. Was good last start without being great, the 1300m was probably always going to be too short. Hasn’t won 2nd up but has had genuine excuses in all of those starts. Went onto win the Doncaster after winning this race last year, I can see him flashing home but he couldn’t run the times to get past Holler and I know it’s a completely different task stepping up to 1500m but this time he has to get past Turn Me Loose and Winx too tough a task.
Hucklebuck – Overraced in the Futurity, disappointing effort bit of a forgive run if he settles better. Can’t see him turning the tables on Turn Me Loose however.
Happy Clapper – He is going to be working home very well, and I think personally he’s going to be a big player in the Doncaster. Worked home well last start, I was very impressed. My issue is just that he will need every meter of the 1600m to get home and Doncaster will likely be easier because he won’t have to make his run with Winx.
Winx – The mighty mare shoots for her 8th straight win. This will be the first time in a her last few races where she will be beatable so at $1.60 I don’t think she is worth betting on. Not that I think she can’t win jsut that her price is under the odds. She did a few things wrong in the mounting yard last time and of course she was still good enough to win but if he repeats that then Turn Me Loose or Kermadec might get the better of her.
First Seal – Constantly starting unders because of the horse she was before injury. I can’t have her rated shorter than Kermadec here, she won’t have the turn of foot here.
Tinto – Always tries hard but can’t win this.
Press Statement – Probably should have won the Guineas last start and in with a chance here. No way though that he is a $5 shot. Only gets 1kg off Winx so will be hard for him stepping up against the older horses but he is obviously extremely talented. If his price gets out worth a bet but not at the current odds.
For my suggested bets make sure to Subscribe to the Free Email List with all suggested bets for weekends runners